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Time series analysis using deep learning
Hladík, Jakub ; Kolařík, Martin (referee) ; Uher, Václav (advisor)
The aim of the thesis was to create a tool for time-series prediction based on deep learning. The first part of the work is a brief description of deep learning and its comparison to classical machine learning. In the next section contains brief analysis of some tools, that are already used for time-series forecasting. The last part is focused on the analysis of the problem as well as on the actual creation of the program.
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Intelligent Manager of Fantasy Premier League Game
Vasilišin, Maroš ; Burgetová, Ivana (referee) ; Hynek, Jiří (advisor)
Hra Fantasy Premier League poskytuje miliónom hráčov po celom svete možnosť stať sa na chvíľu manažérom svojho vlastného klubu. Výsledky a bodové ohodnotenie v hre závisia na správnom predvídaní, ako sa budú hráči chovať v skutočných futbalových zápasoch. Ak by pri tomto rozhodovaní pomáhal software na predikciu a analýzu budúcich výkonov hráčov, výsledky v hre sa môžu rapídne zlepšiť. Táto diplomová práca sa zaoberá návrhom a implementáciou predikčného modelu, ktorý využíva neurónové siete na predikcie časových radov počas celej sezóny v hre. Boli použité metódy na spracovanie dát o hráčoch a kluboch za posledné 4 sezóny. Výkonnosť a presnosť predikčných metód boli testované na dátach z poslednej sezóny Premier League a predikcie algoritmu sa vo väčšine prípadov blížili realite. Ak by sa užívateľ držal predikčného modelu v hre stopercentne, získal by väčší počet bodov ako bežný hráč, ktorý žiadny predikčný model nepoužíva.
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Extreme learning machines for time series prediction
Zmeškal, Jiří ; Rajnoha, Martin (referee) ; Burget, Radim (advisor)
Thesis is aimed at the possibility of utilization of extreme learning machines and echo state networks for time series forecasting with possibility of utilizing GPU acceleration. Such predictions are part of nearly everyone’s daily lives through utilization in weather forecasting, prediction of regular and stock market, power consumption predictions and many more. Thesis is meant to familiarize reader firstly with theoretical basis of extreme learning machines and echo state networks, taking advantage of randomly generating majority of neural networks parameters and avoiding iterative processes. Secondly thesis demonstrates use of programing tools, such as ND4J and CUDA toolkit, to create very own programs. Finally, prediction capability and convenience of GPU acceleration is tested.
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Evolutionary Prediction of Time Series
Křivánek, Jan ; Bidlo, Michal (referee) ; Sekanina, Lukáš (advisor)
This thesis summarizes knowledge in the field of time series theory, method for time series analysis and applications in financial modeling. It also resumes the area of evolutionary algorithms, their classification and applications. The core of this work combines these knowledges in order to build a system utilizing evolutionary algorithms for financial time series forecasting models optimization. Various software engineering techniques were used during the implementation phase (ACI - autonomous continual integration, autonomous quality control etc.) to ensure easy maintainability and extendibility of project by more developers.
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Time Series Analysis
Budai, Samuel ; Bartík, Vladimír (referee) ; Burgetová, Ivana (advisor)
This thesis deals with the issue of time series analysis and its use in the detection of anomalies in industrial networks. AR-X, ARIMA, SARIMA, Random Forest, Facebook Prophet and XGB Boost algorithms were used in the solution to create prediction models. In addition, the work includes the implementation of an algorithm for detecting anomalies from prediction models as well as solving the problem of high seasonal period in the case of the SARIMA algorithm. Through the conducted research, it was found that with the use of selected algorithms, it is possible to predict industrial traffic for the purpose of detection, within which up to 90% of attacks were detected. The work also provides a solution to a high seasonal period using partial time series. These results allow the experimental integration of prediction-based detection into real industrial networks.
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Intelligent Manager of Fantasy Premier League Game
Vasilišin, Maroš ; Burgetová, Ivana (referee) ; Hynek, Jiří (advisor)
Hra Fantasy Premier League poskytuje miliónom hráčov po celom svete možnosť stať sa na chvíľu manažérom svojho vlastného klubu. Výsledky a bodové ohodnotenie v hre závisia na správnom predvídaní, ako sa budú hráči chovať v skutočných futbalových zápasoch. Ak by pri tomto rozhodovaní pomáhal software na predikciu a analýzu budúcich výkonov hráčov, výsledky v hre sa môžu rapídne zlepšiť. Táto diplomová práca sa zaoberá návrhom a implementáciou predikčného modelu, ktorý využíva neurónové siete na predikcie časových radov počas celej sezóny v hre. Boli použité metódy na spracovanie dát o hráčoch a kluboch za posledné 4 sezóny. Výkonnosť a presnosť predikčných metód boli testované na dátach z poslednej sezóny Premier League a predikcie algoritmu sa vo väčšine prípadov blížili realite. Ak by sa užívateľ držal predikčného modelu v hre stopercentne, získal by väčší počet bodov ako bežný hráč, ktorý žiadny predikčný model nepoužíva.
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|
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Evolutionary Prediction of Time Series
Křivánek, Jan ; Bidlo, Michal (referee) ; Sekanina, Lukáš (advisor)
This thesis summarizes knowledge in the field of time series theory, method for time series analysis and applications in financial modeling. It also resumes the area of evolutionary algorithms, their classification and applications. The core of this work combines these knowledges in order to build a system utilizing evolutionary algorithms for financial time series forecasting models optimization. Various software engineering techniques were used during the implementation phase (ACI - autonomous continual integration, autonomous quality control etc.) to ensure easy maintainability and extendibility of project by more developers.
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Time series analysis using deep learning
Hladík, Jakub ; Kolařík, Martin (referee) ; Uher, Václav (advisor)
The aim of the thesis was to create a tool for time-series prediction based on deep learning. The first part of the work is a brief description of deep learning and its comparison to classical machine learning. In the next section contains brief analysis of some tools, that are already used for time-series forecasting. The last part is focused on the analysis of the problem as well as on the actual creation of the program.
|
|
|
Extreme learning machines for time series prediction
Zmeškal, Jiří ; Rajnoha, Martin (referee) ; Burget, Radim (advisor)
Thesis is aimed at the possibility of utilization of extreme learning machines and echo state networks for time series forecasting with possibility of utilizing GPU acceleration. Such predictions are part of nearly everyone’s daily lives through utilization in weather forecasting, prediction of regular and stock market, power consumption predictions and many more. Thesis is meant to familiarize reader firstly with theoretical basis of extreme learning machines and echo state networks, taking advantage of randomly generating majority of neural networks parameters and avoiding iterative processes. Secondly thesis demonstrates use of programing tools, such as ND4J and CUDA toolkit, to create very own programs. Finally, prediction capability and convenience of GPU acceleration is tested.
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Predikce spotřeby pomocí systému ELVÍRA
Pelikán, Emil ; Šimůnek, Milan ; Brabec, Tomáš
There is no need to emphasize strongly the economical aspect of gas consumption forecasting in current conditions of price formation for distributive companies. One of the ways how to improve forecasting quality is the use of computer systems both for automatic time series forecasting, and also for decision support systems with an interactive feedback connection that can help experts (dispatchers, economists) in their decision, planning and control processes.
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